The LTTE is also making some moves- a series of small but widely
dispersed attacks over much of the North-East, renewed calls that it is ready
for peace talks, and a concerted effort to curb dissent among Tamils in the
West through a geographical extension of its terror. It is again a confirmation
of its search for a peace where its denial of accountability to
the Tamils and its hegemony over them are given legal sanction and perhaps international
respectability. We have always argued that such an arrangement would be internally
contradictory and practically disastrous. It is an illusion of the kind of peace
making that conceptually sees as important mainly the Sri Lankan state and the
LTTE, and seeks an arrangement that would stabilise them through an apparently
non-conflicting balance of their claims. The masses- be they Muslims, Sinhalese
or Tamils -are practically left out in the cold.
The present conflict was no doubt begun by the states increasing identification
with an exclusively Sinhalese nationalism, leading to arrogance and an inability
to represent the multi ethnic character of Sri Lankan society. Even after its
disastrous record of murder and mayhem it has not even conceptually grasped
the need to made an independent gesture of good -will towards the Tamil people.
Its continuing record is one of bombing and shelling Tamil civilians in the
North, torture and disappearances in the East and lying to glory. Its actions
are impelled far less by the merest hint of intelligence than by corruption
and abuse of power in their multitudinous forms.
However things may seem on the surface, the grim reality confronting
the state and the LTTE is a sobering one. In village after village in the interior
of the Sinhalese South unemployed youth, often with their A Levels, are offered
two unenviable choices: Join the army or work for some cause like that
of the JVP. On the other hand 3O% or so of the national budget that could
have gone a long way towards their upliftment is spent on a war that owes much
to political bankruptcy more than anything else. Parents whose sons are in the
army often adorn their humble dwellings among other things with a picture of
the late General Kobbekaduwe, one of their son, sometimes crippled, and even
slogans circulated by anti-war groups. Their despair is made the worse through
confusion.
We show in Chapter 6 of this report, Times Wasting Hours,
that the seemingly solid ground is also shifting inexorably beneath the LTTE.
To a large extent its recent successes were Pyrrhic victories. The ordinary
Tamil people are passively distancing themselves from the LTTE in different
ways. One stark development is the sharp tapering off of recruitment in the
East.
In Chapter 1, Trends and Issues,
we summarise current developments and discuss issues arising from them. This
includes a section on the armed forces. Also discussed are the emptiness of
the claims and reasoning that lie behind the aerial bombing of Jaffna that has
claimed nearly 1OO civilian lives since last October. This is another demonstration
of political bankruptcy leading to military paralyses.
Chapters 2,3 and 4 discuss
in some detail current trends in the East based on over a years monitoring.
Chapter 5 deals with the North.
One problem that will have to be faced squarely is the kind
of impossible situation created by this government in areas like Trincomalee
[see 1.7]. The population balance has been deliberately shifted through murder,
displacement and deprivation of Tamils on the one hand, and on the other the
numerical rise of a Sinhalese population maintained by a diversion of public
resources in various forms. To treat this as a fait- accompli would leave a
wound so deep as to prolong disaffection in one form or the other. The problem
also touches on ideological use made of ordinary Sinhalese who are themselves
victims of war and misrule.
We mentioned in the preface to Report 12 that our work will
undergo a radical change in form and emphasis. By now we have covered in some
detail several aspects of the conflict and have also covered most of the North-East.
We would allow our work up to this time to stand by itself as a record. Our
future energies would be devoted much less to detailed reporting and more towards
shorter special reports highlighting specific issues of current concern. Our
comprehensive reports would tend to become an annual feature.
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